Will MAGA represent more than 20% of the electorate after January 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónOriente MedioCrimen y justicia2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 75.3%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado13 mar 26, 22:36 UTC31 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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Like other political movements before it, such as Occupy Wall Street and The Tea Party, will MAGA stop having political influence after the new president takes office?
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by January 2029, MAGA supporters represent more than 20% of the U.S. electorate based on publicly available polling data.
- Resolution will be determined by major polling organizations (Gallup, Pew Research Center, Rasmussen, or similar) that measure self-identification with the MAGA movement.
- If multiple polls exist at the resolution date, the average of the most recent polls will be used.
- The market resolves NO if MAGA support falls to 20% or below.
