Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 65.8%
Pronosticadores
35
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado27 jun 25, 18:18 UTC31 mar 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against New Jersey?
Manifold MarketsWill Kalshi win its lawsuit against Nevada?
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KalshiWill the DC Attorney General win his antitrust lawsuit against DC landlords?
Manifold MarketsWill the Ninth Circuit allow Kalshi's sports contracts in 2026?
PredictItWill the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?
KalshiReglas
To resolve YES, the lawsuit must result in Kalshi being fully available (including sports markets, trading, etc).
- This can be done through court victory or settlement.
- Resolves after all appeals or settlement.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- Close date is a suggestion and may be extended
- I will not trade in this market
Mercados abiertos
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volumen total
- 347,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 27,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 497,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,5 mil €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 676 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,2 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,6 mil €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volumen total
- 577,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,7 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Maryland??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 66% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Maryland??
- Está previsto que Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Maryland? se resuelva el 31 de marzo de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Maryland??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: To resolve YES, the lawsuit must result in Kalshi being fully available (including sports markets, trading, etc).