Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 20:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 99%
Pronosticadores
45
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado2 jun 25, 0:05 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM PT, there is an event widely and credibly recognized as the arrival or return of Jesus Christ — whether as the Second Coming (in Christian eschatology), the First Coming (in the view of certain religions or groups), or a new messianic appearance.
- Such recognition must be confirmed by a consensus of credible global news outlets and at least one major world government or international authority.
- The event must involve a public, global acknowledgment that the individual is Jesus Christ or a direct fulfillment of the prophetic messianic role as traditionally understood in Abrahamic religions.
- If no such confirmation exists by the stated time, the market will resolve to “No.”
