Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.9%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado20 ago 26, 2:59 UTC1 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Jose Luis Ricon get a intracortical electrode [eg neuropixels/axoft] to foundation-model his brain by EOY2042?
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if a map of the human brain is made by end of 2029.
- Its quality should be at least the one of the map made of a fruit fly brain: https://www.science.org/content/article/complete-map-fruit-fly-brain-circuitry-unveiled.
- Otherwise, this resolves NO.
- The result should be publicly available.
- A counter example would be some result obtained through an unethical process hidden in a classified lab located in the Mariana Trench.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 82% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029??
- Está previsto que Will humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if a map of the human brain is made by end of 2029.