Will February the 28th prove to have been the biggest news day of 2026?
US PoliticsOne-OffIAGeopolíticaMiddle EastLatin AmericaPolítica3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 65.1%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 minutos
8 mar 26, 2:40 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by February 28th 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsCredible evidence of pre-arranged local support for Venezuela regime change (news media 2026)
Manifold MarketsWill Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]?
Manifold MarketsWill the fake news inquiry be closed in Brazil's Supreme Court by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
LimitlessNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketReglas
On February the 28th, two things happened: Trump declared the start of strikes on Iran.
- And Open AI announced a contract with the DOW, replacing Anthropic.
- In my view, the combination makes 2/28/26 "the biggest news day of 2026", with the January 3rd capture of Maduro being a close second.
- I will personally judge this based on the significance of the event(s) in question.
- Most events occur over a number of days; but in order to resolve NO, candidate events must have a particular date of occurrence reported on in the major news media.
- As events occur, betters are encouraged to convince me of their significance.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will February the 28th prove to have been the biggest news day of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will February the 28th prove to have been the biggest news day of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will February the 28th prove to have been the biggest news day of 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will February the 28th prove to have been the biggest news day of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: On February the 28th, two things happened: Trump declared the start of strikes on Iran.