Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a debate for >$10k before EOY 2027?
One-Off1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 64.6%
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4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado6 may 26, 6:39 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Got paid $10k for a debate with 47f
- https://youtu.be/FIg4zQKBpAs?t=3467
- Said he'd raise his prices next time.
- Resolves YES if he raises his price AND someone pays it before EOY 2027
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a debate for >$10k before EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a debate for >$10k before EOY 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a debate for >$10k before EOY 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a debate for >$10k before EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Got paid $10k for a debate with 47f