Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 82%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
26 feb 26, 19:12 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump is constitutionally barred from being elected to a third presidential term under the 22nd Amendment.
- This market resolves YES if Trump officially announces a candidacy for the 2028 presidential election (whether as a presidential or vice-presidential candidate).
- It resolves NO if he does not announce such a candidacy by the end of 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official campaign announcements, FEC filings, or statements from Trump or his authorized representatives confirming intent to run.
- Since beginning his second term in January 2025, Trump has floated the possibility of seeking a third term upon the 2028 United States presidential election on November 7, 2028.
