If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 51.7%
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86
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado19 feb 25, 4:18 UTC9 nov 28, 5:59 UTC
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Resolves N/A if he does not become constitutionally eligible for a third term by the filing deadlines in states that comprise ≥270 EVs for the 2028 election
- Update 2025-09-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Constitutional eligibility will be assessed on election day, rather than at state filing deadlines.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 52% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win??
- Está previsto que If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? se resuelva el 9 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves N/A if he does not become constitutionally eligible for a third term by the filing deadlines in states that comprise ≥270 EVs for the 2028 election