Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 71.3%
Pronosticadores
35
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado3 feb 24, 8:11 UTC1 ene 30, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsReglas
China is assessed to have 500 nuclear warheads as of Jan 2024.
- The United States Department of Defense believes China "will probably have over 1,000 operational nuclear warheads by 2030."
- Will China's stockpile of operational nuclear warheads be 1,000 or more before 2030, according to credible sources?
Mercados abiertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- 30°C+20.5pt67.9%
- 31°C+7.5pt20.8%
- 29°C-17.5pt10.4%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 45 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 39 mil €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No72.3%
- Yes27.7%
- Volumen total
- 386,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31-0.2pt98%
- December 31-0.6pt98%
- September 30-2.8pt95%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 25,9 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volumen total
- 11,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 25,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-1.0pt68.3%
- Moonshot-0.4pt25.7%
- Z.ai+1.1pt3%
+8 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 71% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: China is assessed to have 500 nuclear warheads as of Jan 2024.