Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 78.7%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
3 nov 26, 17:30 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
PolymarketGPT Astra 6.1+ released on?
PolymarketWhen will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
PolymarketGPT Astra 6.1+ Released By EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsGPT Astra 6.1+ Released By End of November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Astra 6.1+ be released this week (by November 8, 2026)?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if the next Astra model (6.1 or 6.2 or whatever they call it) is released before the next Fable model (5.5 or whatever they call it).
- NO if Fable is released first.
- If they are announced on the same day, I will try to compare the timestamp of the announcements.
- If there is a tie down to a few minutes granularity, I may resolve 50%.
- If neither model is released before EOY for some reason, resolves N/A.
