Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 63%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado13 oct 24, 4:24 UTC31 dic 27, 16:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
The requirement are that such system exist and the general public knows about, either from a leak or an announcement, it doesn’t have to take the job, just that such system exist by the end of 2027, or at Friday, December 31, 2027.
- It should be capable of doing 50% of jobs that exist in the year 2020, at least as good as the average person in those jobs, as cost efficient as the people in those jobs.
- It must be a single system and NOT a collection of system.
- This will be measured using Dan Hendrick's Remote Labor Index
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?
- Fentanyl99%
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- Cartel99%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 369,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 368 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.3pt69.3%
- ChatGPT-0.3pt13.9%
- Gemini+0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.3pt99%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
- Meta-0.1pt0%
+18 resultados más
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- No-24.0pt68.3%
- Yes+24.0pt31.7%
- Volumen total
- 89,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 79,4 mil €
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- Volumen 24h
- 64,4 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an AI system capable of doing 50% of knowledge job arrive by 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 63% a fecha de 22 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an AI system capable of doing 50% of knowledge job arrive by 2027??
- Está previsto que Will an AI system capable of doing 50% of knowledge job arrive by 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an AI system capable of doing 50% of knowledge job arrive by 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The requirement are that such system exist and the general public knows about, either from a leak or an announcement, it doesn’t have to take the job, just that such system exist by the end of 2027, or at Friday, December 31, 2027.