Will America invade Turkey in the next 20 years
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Oriente MedioEuropaGeopolítica19aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.2%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado1 mar 26, 0:54 UTC1 mar 46, 0:53 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States conducts a military offensive in which combatants are sent to forcefully enter Turkish territory between March 1, 2026 and March 1, 2046 and intentionally kill over 10 Turkish soldiers.
- Resolution requires documented evidence of U.S. military forces engaging in hostile operations on Turkish soil with the intent to occupy territory or effect political/military objectives.
- Routine military exercises, training operations, or peacekeeping missions do not qualify.
- The resolution will be determined by credible news sources, official U.S. government statements, and international reporting.
- This description was generated by AI.
