Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 67.1%
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado28 dic 24, 1:59 UTC1 ene 50, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2075?
Manifold MarketsWill All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill CDC cut the childhood vaccine schedule below 11 diseases in 2026?
KalshiWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiReglas
Explanation:
- Effectively Cure in this context means that you will not die from diseases or aging.
- Resolution Criteria:
- This market resolves as YES if CDC WONDER database shows both of the following for the United States before January 1, 2050:
- Total annual mortality rate drops to 0.05% or below
- This pattern holds across ALL age groups: between age 30 and age 84.
