Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 60%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado29 dic 24, 8:27 UTC1 ene 75, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill CDC cut the childhood vaccine schedule below 11 diseases in 2026?
KalshiEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Explanation:
- Effectively Cure in this context means that you will not die from diseases or aging.
- Resolution Criteria:
- This market resolves as YES if CDC WONDER database shows both of the following for the United States before January 1, 2075:
- Total annual mortality rate drops to 0.05% or below.
- This pattern holds across ALL age groups: between age 30 and age 84.
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,6 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
- 83,5 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 864,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volumen total
- 915,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 mil €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volumen total
- 4,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2075??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 60% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2075??
- Está previsto que Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2075? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2075.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2075??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Explanation: