Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 90.6%
Pronosticadores
40
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado1 dic 23, 12:38 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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At the time of market creation, AI music models were already able to generate songs of 80 seconds in length that approached the quality of what an average musician could output.
- How long will it be until AI becomes superintelligent at music?
- This market will resolve to YES immediately if a mainstream media outlet publishes an article stating that an AI model has produced a work that is superior to that written by Bach, Beethoven, or Mozart before December 31, 2026.
- The work may be from any genre and may be a type of audio waveform that was not previously known to humans, or which is not possible to create with musical instruments.
- The waveform must be original and may not simply be a superior remix of one of those composers' works.
- It will also resolve to YES if the general public consensus is that AI music is now better than human music in all respects.