Pronóstico comunitario actual
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado1 dic 24, 3:54 UTC31 dic 28, 0:00 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
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Manifold MarketsWill a legged robot mission set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
Manifold MarketsIf human brain emulations are created, will they outnumber the biological human population within a decade?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2028?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot physically makes contact with the lunar surface before the next human does, and NO otherwise.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from space agencies (NASA, CNSA, etc.) and verified mission data.
- Key context:
- China's Chang'e-8 mission plans to send a humanoid robot to the Moon's south pole in 2028
- NASA's Artemis 3, the first crewed Moon landing since Apollo 17, is targeted for September 2026
