Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 75%
Pronosticadores
59
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado1 dic 24, 4:01 UTC31 dic 28, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human
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Manifold MarketsWhen will a human first set foot on Mars?
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KalshiWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiReglas
it has to take a step for it to count
- Update 2025-13-01 (PST): - If both humanoid robots and biological humans are part of the same mission, the market will resolve as 'yes' if the robots take a step before the humans.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - Humanoid robots with wheels for feet will count as setting foot if they take a step with their wheels or roll on them.
- Update 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market close date will be extended as necessary if the events determining the outcome (a humanoid robot or a biological human setting foot on Mars) have not occurred by the current close date.
