Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 21:13 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 75%
Pronosticadores
59
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 horas
Desactualizado1 dic 24, 4:01 UTC31 dic 28, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketReglas
it has to take a step for it to count
- Update 2025-13-01 (PST): - If both humanoid robots and biological humans are part of the same mission, the market will resolve as 'yes' if the robots take a step before the humans.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - Humanoid robots with wheels for feet will count as setting foot if they take a step with their wheels or roll on them.
- Update 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market close date will be extended as necessary if the events determining the outcome (a humanoid robot or a biological human setting foot on Mars) have not occurred by the current close date.