Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 20:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 68.2%
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado3 feb 24, 19:29 UTC1 mar 00, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of Mars before we get a cure for cancer.
- In the context of this question the threshold for "we get a cure for cancer" is defined as: 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Numeric markets:
- @/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc
- Human venture on Mars questions:
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-b78c73592440