Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 65.4%
Pronosticadores
52
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado27 jul 23, 17:53 UTC1 ene 00, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer before 2045?
Manifold MarketsReal-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).
Manifold MarketsReal-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).
Manifold MarketsWill humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Uploading: scanning the structure of a brain in sufficient resolution and using it as input to a simulation which results in consciousness similar to the original brain.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/conditional-on-uploading-tech-will)
Mercados abiertos
Science
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100??
- Está previsto que Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2100.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Uploading: scanning the structure of a brain in sufficient resolution and using it as input to a simulation which results in consciousness similar to the original brain.