Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.5%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado8 jul 25, 23:33 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2030, wild honey bee populations are declared functionally extinct in the USA by a reputable scientific organization or governmental body. "Functionally extinct" is defined as a species whose population has declined to the point where it can no longer play a significant role in its ecosystem or sustain a viable population.
- Official declarations from organizations such as the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) or the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service will serve as the primary sources for resolution.
- If no such declaration is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
