Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Demographics 29.7%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado19 sept 23, 2:44 UTC26 sept 28, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
See Nutrition Science's Most Preposterous Result, from The Atlantic, May 2023.
- Choi 2005 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/article-abstract/1152788
- Korat 2018 http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:37925665
- Nutr 2019 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6821541/
- Resolves to my best guess five years after creating the market.
- If there are multiple causes, will resolve to my subjective weighting of factors.
Mercados abiertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 11,6 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Volumen total
- 921 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,7 mil €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11%45%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,4 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-1.0pt60%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 869,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 mil €
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volumen total
- 612,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,1 mil €
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Demographics al 30% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk??
- Está previsto que Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? se resuelva el 26 de septiembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: See Nutrition Science's Most Preposterous Result, from The Atlantic, May 2023.