Who will be the next Democratic president of the United States?
Política
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Other 42%Líder entre 22 opciones
Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 23, 9:54 UTC2 ene 50, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
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FutuurReglas
Resolves to the next individual to at any point be both be simultaniously the president of the United States and affiliated with the Democratic party by the year 2050.
- Unnessisarly specific market rules:
- This market exludes any individuals who have already met this requirement.
- E.g. this market will not resolve on January 20th 2024 if Biden were to win re-election (and in the very unlikely event that Jimmy Carter were to somehow be nominated, re-elected, and survive long enough to be inagurated on January 20th this market would also not resolve).
- However it's technically possible for this market to resolve to other past presidents like Trump or George H. W. Bush if for some strange reason either of the two were to change their party affilation as neither have already met the above requirement (as would any individual elected as a Republican who were to change their party affiliation to Democrat midterm).
- It's also worth noting that this market does not have to resolve to an elected president of the United states (e.g. this market would resolve to the named outcome if she were to assume presidency before the next election).
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
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- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be the next Democratic president of the United States??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 42% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be the next Democratic president of the United States??
- Está previsto que Who will be the next Democratic president of the United States? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be the next Democratic president of the United States??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to the next individual to at any point be both be simultaniously the president of the United States and affiliated with the Democratic party by the year 2050.