Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónMiddle EastGeopolítica2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.5%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado7 abr 26, 17:26 UTC20 ene 29, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
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FutuurReglas
This market will only resolve no once:
- the media consensus is that the Iran war is over (not just a ceasefire), OR
- a temporary ceasefire has gone on for 365 contiguous days.
- Otherwise, it will resolve yes when the next Democratic party nominee for President is inaugurated and there is not an active ceasefire.
- If a ceasefire is ongoing at the time of inauguration, this market will not resolve until either the ceasefire ends or it reaches 365 contiguous days (inclusive of days prior to inauguration).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated??
- Está previsto que Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated? se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will only resolve no once: