Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before Jan 20, 2031
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 6:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 68.6%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado14 may 26, 19:21 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
In what month will the first event be hosted in Trump's new White House Ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWill Congress pass legislation explicitly authorizing or funding the White House Ballroom project by Jan 3, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiWhen will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing?
KalshiReglas
# Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom by Jan. 20, 2031?
- This market is about the “Trump ballroom” discussed on Politix: a Trump-built or Trump-initiated ballroom / large event hall on White House grounds, associated with demolition or replacement of part of the East Wing.
- The underlying question is whether, if Democrats regain the presidency in 2028, the next Democratic administration will physically act to tear down the ballroom as a political/institutional repudiation, rather than merely renovate, rename, or de-Trumpify it.
- ## Resolution
- This market resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on Jan. 20, 2031, a Democratic presidential administration has begun physical demolition or removal of the above-ground Trump ballroom / event-hall structure.
- “Demolition” means either:
