Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)
IA3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Fabiano Caruana 30.7%Líder entre 19 opciones
Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado1 dic 24, 13:49 UTC31 dic 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
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PolymarketReglas
Based on official FIDE classical ratings, not live.
- If two players pass the threshold at the same update, will resolve based on who passed the threshold in live ratings first.
- If there is still a tie, then it will resolve based on which tied player has the higher rating.
- Can resolve as someone currently rated 2800 or above in the event that they dip below 2800 in the official (non live) ratings and then passes it again in a later month.
- Resolution date will be extended as needed.
- Rating source: https://ratings.fide.com/
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Fabiano Caruana al 31% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)?
- Está previsto que Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Based on official FIDE classical ratings, not live.