Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Magnus Carlsen 95.9%Líder entre 16 opciones
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado2 ene 25, 21:40 UTC2 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.5%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
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KalshiReglas
Chess ratings are updated monthly by FIDE (International Chess Federation).
- As of January 2025, the named outcome has dominated the top spot for over a decade, though Gukesh Dommaraju has shown remarkable progress recently, becoming World Chess Champion and making significant rating gains in 2024.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official FIDE rating list published for January 2027 (which reflects ratings as of December 31, 2026)
- In case of a tie for the highest rating, all tied players will resolve equally (i.e. 50/50 if the top two are tied)
- If FIDE changes its rating calculation system before the end of 2026, the market will still resolve based on the official FIDE ratings under the new system
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Magnus Carlsen al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Chess ratings are updated monthly by FIDE (International Chess Federation).