Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 7:32 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Suella Braverman 100%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado14 ene 26, 11:11 UTC14 ago 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketNigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any UK political figure who defects to Reform UK before the date of the next election.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Reform UK and reporting in established media outlets (BBC, Telegraph, Guardian).
- Each answer resolves independently, multiple politicians can resolve YES.
- I've added some people who have been speculated in the past, feel free to add more as I'm sure more figures will be named in future.
- I kept the title vague: feel free to add any people who have at any time been elected to a position in the UK (Councillor, Mayor, PCC, MP, MSP, AM, MS), any sitting or previously sitting lords, or any high profile aides/political employees (Morgan McSweeney, Dominic Cummings types).