Which Trump 2028 Term prediction category will Manifold perform best relative to Nate Silver?
Política de EE. UU.One-Off3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualConstitutionality (1 of 10 Resolved, Manifold -0.28 (Better) Brier) 13.5%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado18 mar 25, 15:21 UTC16 feb 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Originally from this Article:
- https://www.natesilver.net/p/113-predictions-for-trumps-second
- Overall Competition:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/trumps-second-term-will-manifold-ou?play=true)That question (and this question) uses the time locked percentages from Manifold which was two weeks after Nates' article was published (and is why some questions are excluded).
- Spreadsheet Used For Tracking
- Live Manifold Tracking Market of Individual Questions:
