Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 6:32 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Starship 45.7%Líder entre 4 opciones
Starship 45.7%Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 25, 23:48 UTC31 dic 32, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiWill a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ?
Manifold MarketsWill Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Market resolves once one of these launches with humans on board.
- Launch doesn't have to be successful.
- Launch doesn't have to be orbital (point-to-point counts).
- Launch does have to be the full stack (only second stage of Starship doesn't count)