Will there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
One-OffEspacio4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 55.7%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 34 minutos
13 feb 25, 19:22 UTC31 dic 30, 12:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsIs Eric Berger right about the future of Starship?
Manifold MarketsWill the first rocket launch from the UK's SaxaVord spaceport be successful?
Manifold MarketsWhat company will achieve the first successful air-launch to orbit rocket launch from the UK?
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill there be a successful vote of no confidence in France in 2026?
KalshiReglas
Inspired by this Tweet by Eric Berger that gives 50/50 odds