¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 27 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026??

Está previsto que Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: https://astra.com/news/astra-ships-110

One-OffEspacio2m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 98%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 horas

Desactualizado

23 ene 26, 2:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

https://astra.com/news/astra-ships-110

Resolution criteria
This market resolves YES if Astra successfully launches Rocket 4 at any point during 2026.
The rocket does not have to be successful, it just has to get off the ground.
The company has announced plans for a first test flight in summer 2026 from Cape Canaveral, Florida, followed by a second launch in October or November for the Defense Department's Space Test Program.
Resolution will be confirmed via official Astra announcements, FAA launch records, or major space news outlets (SpaceNews, Space Explored, NASA announcements).