Pronóstico comunitario actual
Energy density (400 Wh/kg) 92%Líder entre 13 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado22 mar 26, 19:06 UTC31 dic 27, 20:03 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on which of Donut Lab's promised metrics fail to be independently verified or delivered in real-world conditions by the end of 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by:
- Independent pack-level energy density measurements and cycle life data beyond cell-level thermal tests
- Real-world performance data from Verge Motorcycles deliveries and independent teardowns
- Third-party testing reports (prioritizing VTT Technical Research Centre and equivalent institutions)
Mercados abiertos
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- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- 325 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Energy density (400 Wh/kg) al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.?
- Está previsto que Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on. se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria