Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNavier-Stokes 98.1%+47.2ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
63
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+51.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
18 abr 24, 20:08 UTC1 ene 41, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiReglas
Other = a prize yet to be added to the Millenium prize list
- https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
Mercados abiertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+7.3pt55%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 226,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 125,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 108,3 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
- 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
+4 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Navier-Stokes al 98% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next??
- Está previsto que Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2041.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Other = a prize yet to be added to the Millenium prize list