Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 85.4%
Pronosticadores
141
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
19 oct 22, 20:49 UTC27 oct 40, 6:59 UTC
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Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
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Will humans be responsible for the solutions to any remaining Millenium Prize problem?
- This question is aiming for the scenario where most future advanced math is done by AI.
- If even 25% of the "effort" of solving the problem is made by human mathematicians I will resolve YES.
- If deep learning ends up largely superseded by some future paradigm I will update the question to reflect that.
- The question is about the current cutting edge of AI, not deep learning specifically.
- To my knowledge essentially no existing theorems wouldn't pass the bar of "mostly solved by humans".
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans??
- Está previsto que Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans? se resuelva el 27 de octubre de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will humans be responsible for the solutions to any remaining Millenium Prize problem?