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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Foreign Exchange
  3. Which of the following will be true about the rumored “Claude Mythos”?
Manifold Markets

Which of the following will be true about the rumored “Claude Mythos”?

Foreign ExchangeIAOne-Off6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
It will be called “Claude Mythos” on release 0%
Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores

49

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

27 mar 26, 4:391 ene 27, 5:29

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Manifold Markets
It will be called “Claude Mythos” on release
0%
Manifold Markets
It will cost at least 3x more per output token than Claude Opus 4.6 currently does on the API
0%
Manifold Markets
It will cost at least 5x more per output token than Claude Opus 4.6 does per output token on the API
0%
Manifold Markets
It scores at least 50% on SWE-Apex (3rd party evaluation)
100%
Manifold Markets
It scores at least 55% on SWE-Apex (3rd party evaluation)
100%

Resultado elegido

It will only be available on the max plan and/or the API1%

Reglas

https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves NA if no model that appears to be the one mentioned here is released by Anthropic by Jan 1, 2027
  • Update 2026-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The API/max plan availability answer will resolve 30 days after release
  • All other answers will resolve after the model is released and relevant information is revealed
  • Update 2026-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Model released" requires the model to be released to the public (not just limited access like Project Glasswing).
  • Update 2026-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A name like "Claude Mythos 5" (i.e., with a version number appended) would still count as being called "Claude Mythos" on release.

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Activos en estos temas

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Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves NA if no model that appears to be the one mentioned here is released by Anthropic by Jan 1, 2027
  • Update 2026-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The API/max plan availability answer will resolve 30 days after release
  • All other answers will resolve after the model is released and relevant information is revealed
  • Update 2026-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Model released" requires the model to be released to the public (not just limited access like Project Glasswing).
  • Update 2026-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A name like "Claude Mythos 5" (i.e., with a version number appended) would still count as being called "Claude Mythos" on release.