Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual5 87.3%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado25 abr 26, 5:18 UTC2 jul 27, 5:04 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Is Claude Mythos 5 an alignment faker like Opus 3?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following will be true about the rumored “Claude Mythos”?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves to the version number (or other specifier, if used) for the first model Anthropic publicly releases which has "Mythos" in the name.
- For example, if the first publicly released Mythos model is "Claude 7 Mythos" this would resolve to "7".
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volumen total
- 224,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Version number/specifier of first public Claude Mythos model?
- Manifold Markets cotiza 5 al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Version number/specifier of first public Claude Mythos model?
- Está previsto que Version number/specifier of first public Claude Mythos model se resuelva el 2 de julio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Version number/specifier of first public Claude Mythos model?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to the version number (or other specifier, if used) for the first model Anthropic publicly releases which has "Mythos" in the name.