Which of the following scenarios is likely to occur regarding Netanyahu’s trial?
PolíticaIAGeopolítica3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual1) Prolonged limbo via security delays 86.4%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado16 jul 25, 22:08 UTC31 dic 26, 21:45 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When in 2026 will US federal government present a new narrative, with documentation, regarding UAP/UFO events?
Manifold MarketsHow many ‘Core #1’ convicts from Brazil’s coup plot trial will lose military ranks in 2026?
FutuurWill Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
Manifold MarketsWill a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu be arrested?
KalshiBinyamin Netanyahu still Prime Minister of Israel through the end of 2026?
FutuurReglas
Resolution Criteria:
- Prolonged limbo via security delays : The anticipated verdict slips past 2026
- Immunity law passed (retroactive immunity)
- Criteria: The Knesset passes and enacts a law specifically granting immunity to Netanyahu, either prospectively or retroactively, after his trial began, with effective date allowing dismissal of his current charges.
- Proof needed:
- Text of law explicitly states immunity covering Netanyahu’s ongoing indictments.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which of the following scenarios is likely to occur regarding Netanyahu’s trial??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 1) Prolonged limbo via security delays al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which of the following scenarios is likely to occur regarding Netanyahu’s trial??
- Está previsto que Which of the following scenarios is likely to occur regarding Netanyahu’s trial? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which of the following scenarios is likely to occur regarding Netanyahu’s trial??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria: