Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualLanyue 37%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
29
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado20 jun 25, 2:51 UTC31 dic 30, 2:47 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the crewed lunar lander that successfully transports astronauts from lunar orbit to the Moon's surface, as confirmed by an official space agency or government announcement.
- the named outcome: Developed by SpaceX under NASA's Artemis program, the named outcome is slated for the Artemis III mission, aiming for the first crewed lunar landing since 1972.
- An uncrewed test flight is planned for 2025, with the crewed mission expected no earlier than mid-2027.
- (en.wikipedia.org)
- Blue Moon HLS: Blue Origin's Blue Moon lander is contracted for the Artemis V mission, targeting a crewed lunar landing.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Lanyue al 37% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon??
- Está previsto que Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria