Will China land humans on the Moon before the US returns astronauts to the lunar surface?
ChinaOne-OffTecnologíaEspacio9a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 59%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 38 minutos
18 dic 25, 3:26 UTC31 dic 35, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if China lands humans on the Moon before the US returns astronauts to the lunar surface.
- This market resolves NO if the US returns astronauts to the lunar surface before China lands humans on the Moon.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the China Manned Space Agency (CMSA) and NASA confirming successful crewed lunar landings.
- A successful landing requires astronauts to reach the lunar surface and return safely to Earth.
- China has announced a preliminary plan to land two astronauts on the Moon by 2030, with an uncrewed Mengzhou-Lanyue mission planned for 2028 or 2029, ahead of the full crewed mission to the lunar surface in 2030.
