Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualMalaysia 100%Líder entre 13 opciones
Pronosticadores
46
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado12 dic 25, 2:21 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
Reglas
Resolves YES iff a social media ban is introduced for at least some teenagers (anyone, but not necessarily everyone, ages 13-19) in the relevant country by December 31st, 2026.
- The ban must encompass at least two social media sites.
- The ban must become law by EOY 2026 (not just announced).
- For this market, partial restrictions (e.g. limits on smartphone screen time or curfews) do not suffice.
- I am far from an expert in the current laws and restrictions in each of these countries, so there may be some edge cases.
- If there is a dispute, I will attempt to rule in the spirit of the question - whether there are new laws that a reasonable person would describe as a social media ban.
Mercados abiertos
AI
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- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Malaysia al 100% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026??
- Está previsto que Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES iff a social media ban is introduced for at least some teenagers (anyone, but not necessarily everyone, ages 13-19) in the relevant country by December 31st, 2026.