Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2027 58%Líder entre 7 opciones
2027 58%Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado14 ago 24, 15:18 UTC22 ene 30, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified?
Manifold MarketsAI resolves at least X% on SWE-bench WITH assistance, by 2028?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves to the first year in which https://www.swebench.com posts a 90% resolved score in the “verified” category.
- The current score is 38.80% by Amazon Q Developer Agent.