Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 73.6%
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21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 14 minutos
30 abr 24, 14:16 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves "Yes" if, at time of closure, there is an entry on the SWE-bench leaderboard (https://www.swebench.com/) with score greater or equal to 90%.
- Linked Questions:
- by 2025: https://manifold.markets/RationalHippy/will-an-autonomous-agent-resolve-90
- by 2026: https://manifold.markets/RationalHippy/will-an-autonomous-agent-resolve-90-46de94321b3f
Mercados abiertos
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- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
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- 9,1 M €
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- 325 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 74% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2027??
- Está previsto que Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves "Yes" if, at time of closure, there is an entry on the SWE-bench leaderboard (https://www.swebench.com/) with score greater or equal to 90%.