What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months?
Health & MedicineOne-Off11mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual60-69% 25.6%Líder entre 7 opciones
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Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado15 mar 24, 21:29 UTC2 sept 27, 6:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
The 12 month phase 3 data indicates 75% vaccine efficacy of R21 in annual malaria sites in children at 12 months after the first dose was delivered.
- Phase 2b data at a 42 month timepoint showed 71% efficacy after four total doses (Abstract here, #6949).
- Resolves upon publication of peer-reviewed data from the R21 team at Oxford (expected to be before September 1st, 2026).
- Vaccine efficacy is defined as the primary endpoint for time to clinical malaria in seasonal sites, as defined in the paper linked above.
- 1Day Sooner has an R21 Status Report available here that may be useful.
- More malaria-related questions can be found on our Manifold account here.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 60-69% al 26% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months??
- Está previsto que What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months? se resuelva el 2 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The 12 month phase 3 data indicates 75% vaccine efficacy of R21 in annual malaria sites in children at 12 months after the first dose was delivered.