Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual11 27.8%+3.8ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+3.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
29 ago 26, 3:00 UTC2 feb 27, 0:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ethan Sun make USAJMO in 2027
Manifold MarketsWill MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketReglas
MAA has changed JMO cutoffs this year so that they no longer rely on AMC 10 scores.
- This market will resolve YES to the lowest AIME score that someone can qual with.
Mercados abiertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 230,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 77,1 mil €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 109,5 mil €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,9 mil €
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the USAJMO Cutoff for 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 11 al 28% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the USAJMO Cutoff for 2027??
- Está previsto que What will be the USAJMO Cutoff for 2027? se resuelva el 2 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be the USAJMO Cutoff for 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: MAA has changed JMO cutoffs this year so that they no longer rely on AMC 10 scores.