¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Was Haley Stevens paid to endorse Mike Rodgers??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 77.7% a fecha de 11 de noviembre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Was Haley Stevens paid to endorse Mike Rodgers??

Está previsto que Was Haley Stevens paid to endorse Mike Rodgers? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 77.7%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 hora

Retrasado

1 nov 26, 22:39 UTC31 dic 26, 22:37 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2026, credible reporting or official investigative disclosures confirm that U.S. Representative Haley Stevens (or an affiliated entity under her direction) received direct financial compensation, an explicit quid pro quo payment, or monetary consideration in exchange for endorsing Republican candidate Mike Rogers in the Michigan U.S. Senate race.
Standard campaign contributions made to her campaign committee or leadership PAC in the ordinary course of politics do not qualify unless established by an official investigative finding (such as the Federal Election Commission, House Ethics Committee, or Department of Justice) or verified mainstream investigative reporting to be an illegal or direct payment specifically contingent upon her endorsement.
Credible sources include major consensus news outlets (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, or Wall Street Journal) or official government reports from bodies such as the Federal Election Commission or House Committee on Ethics.
If no credible confirmation of financial payment for the endorsement is published by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the market resolves to NO.
On November 1, 2026, two days before the general election, Democratic Representative Haley Stevens announced her endorsement of Republican nominee Mike Rogers in Michigan's U.S. Senate race.