US passes $500B+ "AI unemployment" stimulus by 2029?
FedOne-OffEconomíaIAPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 68.1%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado26 nov 25, 15:11 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Reglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2029, the US federal government enacts a stimulus package of at least $500 billion in projected net fiscal cost whose primary stated purpose is to mitigate large‑scale unemployment or worker displacement attributed to artificial intelligence or automation.
- What counts as a qualifying “stimulus package”?
- For this market:
- It must be federal legislation (an Act of Congress signed by the President or enacted over a veto) that:
- Is commonly described in official and media coverage as an “economic stimulus,” “relief,” or similar package; and
- Has a projected net fiscal cost of ≥ $500 billion over its official budget window, based on CBO, OMB, or broadly accepted estimates.
