US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Sociedad y cultura1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.9%
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10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 14 minutos
26 jul 24, 19:15 UTC1 ago 28, 6:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
a) "US city, county, or state": An incorporated city, county, or state within the 50 United States and District of Columbia.
- This also includes city-like things such as villages, towns etc which are distinct administrative divisions.
- Ie the colloquial use of "city".
- Unusual region designations which have their own governing structure and meet other criteria are included.
- National parks etc don't count. b) "Population": The most recent official population estimate from the U.S. Census Bureau prior to the name change at the point of the change becoming final and official.
- Judgment criteria:
