UK Autumn Budget 2026: will a £2 bus fare cap be funded beyond the end of 2027?
One-OffEuropaMacro y economía16dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.1%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
22 sept 26, 14:32 UTC28 oct 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will business rates relief be widened beyond pubs and music venues?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will any gambling duty rate rise beyond the April 2027 changes?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will the 'mansion tax' threshold be set below £2 million?
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will any main capital gains tax rate rise?
Manifold MarketsFutu total funded accounts in fiscal 2026
KalshiChristine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
The £2 cap in England outside London runs from 1 January 2027 to the end of 2027.
- YES if the Budget provides for a national single-fare cap in England outside London at £2 or lower for any period after 31 December 2027.
- A cap set above £2, or funding devolved without a national cap, resolves NO.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.