Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual≥$1T 100%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado22 abr 26, 3:49 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercados abiertos
Regulation
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt46%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt37%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+3.0pt34%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 5,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 99,5 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No80.2%
- Yes19.8%
- Volumen total
- 13,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 80,7 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202792%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 16,6 mil €
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+27.3pt70.6%
- 11–14B-8.8pt10.8%
- 8–11B-3.3pt4.9%
+5 resultados más
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-3.0pt37.6%
- Before Sep 1, 202724.8%
- Before April 1, 202723.1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 264,4 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza ≥$1T al 100% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- Está previsto que SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026 se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.