Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual≥$0.8T 100%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-25.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado22 abr 26, 3:491 oct 26, 3:59
Tendencias
100%
100%
Reglas
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercados abiertos
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No74.3%
- Yes25.7%
- Volumen total
- 6,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 194 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202793%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+0.5pt89%
- October 31,+2.5pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+2.0pt48%
- Before Jul 1, 202741%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,3 M €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-8.0pt59%
- Before May 1, 2027-3.0pt50%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt44%
+9 resultados más
GEMINIWill crypto market structure legislation become law?
- Before 2027?26.5%
- Before December 2026?25.5%
- Before November 2026?17.5%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 159,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,4 mil €
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by August 31?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza ≥$0.8T al 100% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- Está previsto que Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.